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NFL Week 15 betting cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more


Dec 13, 2019 |



NFL Week 15 betting cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more

Dalvin Cook is working through a chest injury, but he's expected to play for Minnesota at the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. If Cook sits out, that's worth a half-point to the line at The SuperBook.

Photo By - USA Today Images




Dalvin Cook is working through a chest injury, but he's expected to play for Minnesota at the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday. If Cook sits out, that's worth a half-point to the line at The SuperBook.

Photo By - USA Today Images

 



NFL Week 15 has some banged-up running backs, though that’s not impacting the line in all cases. Covers checks in on everything from injury updates to weather to Pros vs. Joes clashes and more, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.


Injury Impact


MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Running back Dalvin Cook (chest) is expected to play Sunday’s road game against the Los Angeles Chargers. “Cook would be worth a half-point if he was to be out,” Osterman said. Minnesota is already down to -1.5, after opening -3.


PITTSBURGH STEELERS: Wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee) will miss his fourth straight game, but Osterman said that was factored into the opening line for Pittsburgh’s home game against Buffalo. Tight end Vance McDonald (concussion) is out, and running back James Conner (shoulder) is questionable after missing the last three games.


“Conner is worth a half-point if he plays. Nothing for McDonald.” The Steelers opened 1-point favorites in the Sunday nighter, got bet up to -2.5 early in the week, then back to -1 Friday.


SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Several defensive players are either out or questionable against Atlanta, including cornerback Richard Sherman and end Dee Ford. “The 49ers’ defense is why we’ve seen that line come down a half-point.” San Francisco is giving 10.5 points.


OAKLAND RAIDERS: Running back Josh Jacobs (shoulder) is again questionable as the Raiders prepare to host Jacksonville. Jacobs sat out last week’s home loss to Tennessee. “Jacobs would be worth a half-point.” Oakland is a 7-point favorite.


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Wideout Julian Edelman (knee/shoulder) is questionable at Cincinnati, which The SuperBook pegs worth a half-point if he sits. The Patriots are laying 10 points.


 





 


Weather Watch


CHICAGO AT GREEN BAY: It’s gonna be really damn cold Sunday on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. The high is 18 degrees, with winds of 10-15 mph that will surely make it feel chillier still. “The total has come down a half-point. But that total was put up on the low side initially, assuming that it would be really cold in Green Bay.” The total opened at 41 and ticked to 40.5.


DENVER AT KANSAS CITY: The forecast calls for a 70 percent chance of snow and a high of just 28 degrees, and a modest 10 mph breeze probably won’t make it feel any warmer. “The total has come down 1.5 points” from the opener of 46.5. The first move was actually up to 47, but the total dipped to 45 by Thursday night.


MIAMI AT NEW YORK GIANTS: The weather generally looks OK for MetLife Stadium, though the wind could approach 20 mph, prompting The SuperBook to move the total from 47.5 to 46.5.


BUFFALO AT PITTSBURGH: This is the Sunday night game, and it will be a chilly one, with the temperature around 30 along with 10-15 mph winds at Heinz Field. “The total hasn’t moved off of 37. That was already the lowest total on the board. It’s hard to push it any lower.” However, by lunch hour Friday in Vegas, The SuperBook took the total down another tick to 36.5.


Pros vs. Joes


DENVER AT KANSAS CITY: “There is some sharp action on the Broncos, and the public has really been all over the Chiefs ever since it was announced that Patrick Mahomes is playing.” Mahomes suffered a hand injury in last week’s win at New England, but he expects to be good to go Sunday.


Kansas City opened -10.5, quickly surged to -11.5, then was bet down to -9 by midweek before hiking to -10 Friday morning. The SuperBook ticked back to 9.5 Friday afternoon.


Reverse Line Moves


PHILADELPHIA AT WASHINGTON: “A small reverse line move here. We’re down to Eagles -5.5 from -6, but the public money has mostly been on the Eagles.”


ATLANTA AT SAN FRANCISCO: The move here is toward the Falcons, but the host Niners are drawing more cash. “The line opened 49ers -11.5 and is down to -10.5. However, the public money is on the 49ers.”


MINNESOTA AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS: This line has been cut in half, from Vikings -3 to -1.5, but Minnesota has the bulk of the action. “The public money is on the Vikings, especially on parlays.” 


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